Dep. Muñiz vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 0
MUÑ
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
CBA
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
YUP
1 - 1
MUÑ
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MUÑ
3 - 0
CES
29%
27%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
MUÑ
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 1
JUU
50%
27%
24%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SBA
2 - 1
LUG
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAM
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 3
LUG
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +3 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CBA
1 - 0
LUG
38%
25%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |