Dep. Muñiz vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
10º
7º
38
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 1
MUÑ
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
DPA
57%
24%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
CES
3 - 0
MUÑ
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MER
0 - 3
MUÑ
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ARR
4 - 2
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
SBA
0 - 0
ARR
58%
22%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ARR
0 - 0
CBA
68%
21%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
ARR
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 4
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |