Deportivo Municipal vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
MUN
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 1
UTC
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 0
MUN
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 0
COM
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 1
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
SBO
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SRP
0 - 2
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
BIN
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
HUA
2 - 1
SAM
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |