Deportivo Municipal vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 1
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAR
0 - 0
MUN
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 0
SAM
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
ALI
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 2
BOC
38%
28%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAM
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |