Deportivo Municipal vs UCV Moquegua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+425%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
MUN
33%
26%
42%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
AYA
3 - 0
MUN
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 0
BIN
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
MUN
24%
25%
52%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
SFC
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UCV Moquegua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 2
COM
16%
23%
60%
|
12 | 52 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 4
LOS
12%
19%
69%
|
12 | 52 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 0
UCV
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 56 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 1
AYA
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 54 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BIN
2 - 0
UCV
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 62 | 50 | 0 |