Deportivo Municipal vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
MUN
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 1
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ACR
0 - 3
MUN
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 1
SBO
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 2
MUN
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
AUN
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 2
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 3
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
5 - 1
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |