Deportivo Morón vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
5 - 1
BER
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
AND
1 - 1
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
MOR
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
SUA
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
MOR
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
STM
0 - 2
COM
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
PLA
3 - 0
STM
58%
26%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
STM
0 - 1
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
STM
1 - 1
MID
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CCO
1 - 1
STM
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |