Deportivo Morón vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
63.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
RIE
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 1
MOR
22%
30%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALM
67%
22%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
STM
1 - 0
MOR
21%
28%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
PLA
68%
22%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
SLO
1 - 1
CIP
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
SLO
0 - 1
EME
55%
23%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
SLO
1 - 0
GOD
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
EME
0 - 1
SLO
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
TAL
1 - 1
SLO
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |