Deportivo Morón vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 0
MOR
26%
30%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
SUA
53%
26%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
MOR
40%
29%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 3
MOR
33%
29%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
RIE
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
INS
0 - 0
CAG
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
INS
35%
29%
37%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
INS
0 - 0
RSA
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
INS
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
INS
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |