Deportivo Morón vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
BRO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 2
MOR
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 4
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 3
MOR
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 1
DAL
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
INS
0 - 1
DHA
60%
25%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 3
INS
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
INS
2 - 3
ALM
47%
30%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
INS
28%
28%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
INS
0 - 0
IRV
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |