Deportivo Morón vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
SUA
0 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
ITA
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
UAI
0 - 1
MOR
41%
30%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 2
MOR
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 0
MER
63%
24%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MER
0 - 4
CHA
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 2
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
MER
3 - 3
COL
52%
27%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SUA
3 - 2
MER
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |