Deportivo Morón vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 2
MOR
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALM
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DAL
3 - 1
MOR
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MER
4 - 0
UAI
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
MER
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
ARM
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
MER
3 - 0
SUA
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
MER
44%
29%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |