Deportivo Morón vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 0
MOR
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
SUA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 1
MOR
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
QUI
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 2
MOR
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 2
TEM
32%
30%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
DEF
47%
29%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 1
GIM
39%
31%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SUA
0 - 0
DEF
45%
28%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
FER
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |