Deportivo Morón vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
28.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
RAF
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 1
MOR
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
IRV
2 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
BAR
42%
30%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
MOR
44%
27%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
CAG
55%
26%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
5 - 0
BRO
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
RSA
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 3
BRO
46%
30%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 2
STM
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |