Deportivo Morón vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
29.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
MOR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
QUI
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
IRV
1 - 1
MOR
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
MIT
1 - 0
MOR
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BRO
3 - 0
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MIT
0 - 1
BRO
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 1
TEM
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
INS
0 - 1
BRO
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BRO
1 - 1
RSA
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |