Deportivo Morón vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
MOR
46%
27%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
FLA
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 1
MOR
55%
26%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
COM
49%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
MOR
25%
29%
47%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 0
SUA
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 0
BRO
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 0
VSC
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
BRO
25%
30%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |