Deportivo Miranda vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Miranda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 0
MIR
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TRU
3 - 0
MIR
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 1
DEP
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 3
MIR
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
DEP
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
URE
0 - 0
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 1
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
TRU
27%
28%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ZAM
3 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |