Deportivo Merlo vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
MER
35%
29%
36%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
MER
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
RIE
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
EST
3 - 1
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 0
BRO
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
VSC
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 0
FLA
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 3
VSC
62%
23%
16%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 1
COM
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |