Deportivo Merlo vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
DYJ
1 - 0
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
INS
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
MER
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
ALB
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 0
MER
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CAU
1 - 0
BUC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
3 - 2
CAU
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
CAU
5 - 1
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
FER
1 - 1
CAU
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
CAU
0 - 0
CAI
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |