Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 1
MER
39%
27%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MER
2 - 0
MOR
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
SUA
34%
27%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
PLA
2 - 1
MER
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
VSC
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
BRO
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
COL
3 - 2
ITA
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 0
ITA
35%
28%
37%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ITA
4 - 1
ATL
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +4 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
COM
3 - 0
ITA
43%
29%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |