Deportivo Merlo vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
53.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TAL
3 - 1
MER
74%
18%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MER
2 - 2
UAI
13%
22%
65%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
DOC
1 - 2
MER
53%
25%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
LAM
2 - 2
MER
42%
27%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 3
MER
51%
25%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 1
TAL
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
UAI
1 - 0
SMG
50%
27%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
CAD
2 - 2
SMG
46%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SMG
2 - 1
FEN
40%
29%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SMG
0 - 0
STM
26%
29%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |