Deportivo Merlo vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
44%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 3
MER
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MER
0 - 1
QUI
25%
30%
46%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 0
MER
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
DEF
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 0
BUC
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 3
SMA
51%
28%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 1
PLA
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 1
CAI
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
SMA
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |