Deportivo Merlo vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
46%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 0
MER
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
DEF
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 2
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
MOR
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 0
BUC
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 3
QUI
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 1
TAL
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ALD
0 - 2
QUI
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |