Deportivo Merlo vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 1
MER
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
HUR
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 0
MER
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MER
2 - 3
SAR
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
INS
28%
28%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
CEN
22%
28%
50%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GLP
4 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
ALD
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GIM
1 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
DYJ
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |