Deportivo Merlo vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 0
MER
54%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PAT
0 - 1
MER
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
FER
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CAI
1 - 1
MER
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
RAF
21%
29%
50%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
IRV
1 - 1
FER
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
IRV
3 - 1
RAF
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 1
IRV
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
IRV
1 - 1
SMA
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
3 - 0
IRV
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |