Deportivo Merlo vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
RPI
2 - 0
MER
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
SMA
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LUJ
3 - 0
MER
48%
26%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
LAF
40%
24%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CCO
0 - 0
MER
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
LAF
28%
24%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CCO
2 - 2
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 4
BER
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MID
2 - 0
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 3
DOC
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |