Deportivo Merlo vs Dep. Armenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
24.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
SBA
3 - 0
MER
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 1
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
MER
46%
28%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
BER
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
MER
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 0
EXC
30%
29%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAÑ
2 - 3
ARM
54%
26%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
ARM
31%
30%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 0
POR
54%
27%
20%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
LUJ
2 - 1
ARM
50%
29%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |