Deportivo Merlo vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
MER
43%
31%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
CDN
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DHA
1 - 2
MER
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MER
2 - 6
ALM
36%
32%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
IRV
0 - 1
MER
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DYJ
0 - 1
CEN
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GLP
1 - 3
DYJ
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DYJ
0 - 2
ALD
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
DYJ
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DYJ
0 - 3
INS
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |