Deportivo Merlo vs CAI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 0
MER
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
CEN
23%
29%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SMA
2 - 0
MER
57%
25%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
BEL
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 0
MER
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 3
FER
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 2
PAT
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RAF
5 - 1
CAI
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
3 - 1
CEN
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SMA
1 - 2
CAI
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |