Deportivo Merlo vs CAI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
IRV
0 - 1
MER
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
SMA
25%
30%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
TFE
2 - 0
MER
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
CAU
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
DYJ
1 - 0
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 0
BUC
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 3
CAI
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 1
PLA
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FER
1 - 0
CAI
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
GIM
3 - 0
CAI
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |