Deportivo Merlo vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
MER
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
FLA
76%
16%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
MER
55%
25%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MER
4 - 2
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
MER
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 1
BRO
31%
29%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 1
COL
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
BRO
15%
24%
62%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRO
4 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
BRO
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |