Deportivo Merlo vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 1
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
CHA
35%
30%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
PAT
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 2
MER
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
CAI
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 2
FER
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
BUC
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 1
RAF
26%
28%
45%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 2
BUC
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 0
SMA
40%
29%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |