Deportivo Merlo vs Berazategui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
VIC
0 - 1
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
MER
3 - 2
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 3
MER
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
ITA
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
MER
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 0
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BER
0 - 0
CCO
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
VSC
3 - 1
BER
58%
23%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VIC
1 - 1
BER
61%
21%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |