Deportivo Merlo vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
INS
1 - 2
MER
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MER
2 - 2
BUC
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 1
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
CHA
35%
30%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
PAT
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 0
FER
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 1
ATT
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 2
RAF
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 0
ATT
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 0
SMA
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |