Deportivo Merlo vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
42%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
MER
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MER
3 - 2
FEN
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
MER
0 - 2
SUA
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 3
MER
45%
30%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
ESP
65%
21%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
BRO
44%
29%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
ALM
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 0
CHA
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 1
ALM
34%
29%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
COL
71%
21%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |