Deportivo Merlo vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
DAL
0 - 1
MER
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
MER
29%
30%
41%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
MER
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
PLA
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 1
CHA
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 1
ALM
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 2
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |