Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
11º
8º
15
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEP
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
DEP
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 3
DEP
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 0
DEF
33%
28%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 1
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 2
BOS
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CSY
1 - 2
RAC
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 2
CSM
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 2
RAC
30%
29%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |