Deportivo Maldonado vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
16º
16º
9
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 12 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 10 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 10 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 10 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 9 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 9 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 7 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 7 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 7 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 6 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 4 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 4 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 4 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
LFC
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
RIV
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 0
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MWA
1 - 0
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
MWA
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MWA
1 - 0
CER
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MWA
1 - 0
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
MWA
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |