Dep. Maipú vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
MAI
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 1
DFR
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
MAI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 0
DES
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 2
MAI
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIP
2 - 1
GBR
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 1
RSA
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DFR
0 - 0
GBR
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 3
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DES
0 - 0
GBR
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |