Dep. Maipú vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
MAI
1 - 0
CIP
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GBR
2 - 2
MAI
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
RSA
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DFR
2 - 0
MAI
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 0
GBR
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 0
ALV
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 1
DFR
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 0
AGR
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |