Deportivo Lara vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
APC
0 - 0
LAR
30%
23%
48%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 2
LAR
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 2
TRU
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
LAR
3 - 1
ZAM
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ZUL
3 - 1
LAR
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
URE
1 - 2
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
URE
2 - 1
FRO
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ZUL
3 - 0
URE
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 0
URE
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ANZ
0 - 0
URE
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |