Deportivo Lara vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
2 - 3
LAR
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 0
LAR
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
TRU
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
ESC
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 0
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 3
URE
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
URE
1 - 0
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
URE
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
URE
34%
31%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
URE
0 - 3
TRU
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |