Deportivo Lara vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ZUL
0 - 2
LAR
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 3
TAC
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
POR
0 - 4
LAR
20%
26%
55%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LAR
4 - 2
LLA
65%
21%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
LAR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TUC
0 - 1
EST
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
TRU
1 - 0
TUC
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TUC
2 - 1
MET
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 1
TUC
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TUC
0 - 0
ARA
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |