Deportivo Lara vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
LAR
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 1
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 3
LAR
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 1
MIR
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
3 - 0
TUC
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TUC
0 - 1
ZUL
27%
23%
51%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
TUC
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
TUC
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 2
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |