Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-4
Deportivo Lara vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
0 - 1
ZUL
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 2
MIR
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 1
LAR
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
LAR
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 1
YAR
70%
18%
13%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SFE
1 - 0
ENV
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
SFE
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
SFE
2 - 2
MIL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SFE
3 - 0
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
SFE
2 - 0
ACA
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |