Deportivo Lara vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TRU
1 - 1
LAR
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 5
OLI
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 2
LAR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 2
DEP
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CFC
3 - 0
LAR
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
POR
54%
23%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
ZUL
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 3
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
ANZ
22%
27%
52%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |