Venezuela Finals Final
Global 1-2
Deportivo Lara vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
LAR
42%
25%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 0
MIN
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 0
LAR
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
LAR
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
LAR
42%
25%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
LAR
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |