Deportivo Lara vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 3
LAR
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 1
MIR
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAR
3 - 1
TAC
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 3
LAR
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LAR
5 - 1
MIN
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
ZUL
38%
24%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TUC
3 - 1
MON
30%
24%
46%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
ARA
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TRU
2 - 0
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |