Clausura Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 7-1
Deportivo Lara vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LAR
3 - 0
ZUL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 0
LAR
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 1
APC
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 2
LAR
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
ZUL
0 - 0
LAR
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 1
CFC
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ZUL
2 - 4
LLA
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 1
TRU
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
APC
4 - 0
LLA
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 0
ARA
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |