Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-5
Deportivo Lara vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ZUL
0 - 1
LAR
41%
23%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
ANZ
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
LAR
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
LAR
4 - 0
APC
50%
22%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
LAR
0 - 2
MIR
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
PAS
0 - 1
JUN
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 2
PAS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 1
JUN
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 1
SFE
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |